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  • europe : third wave group
    Leave a Comment Issue 26 On 12 November 2008 the ABC s Kerry O Brien was interviewing Treasurer Wayne Swan O Brien So let me hear in plain English that the budget is within a hair s breadth of going into deficit It seems silly that anybody would bother to argue that proposition Will you accept going into deficit if you have Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia budget debt deficit economy europe great depression intergenerational report kerry o brien recession stockmarket treasury wayne swan Tidal Report 10 May 2009 Britain a Third World Country Posted by Tracey Watts on May 10 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 25 The dramatic rally seen in most stockmarkets around the world continued again this week after only the briefest of pauses in April In Australia the S P ASX 200 rose 4 6 per cent to 3 941 7 within striking distance of the psychologically important 4 000 level for the first time in six months Since the rally began in Filed under tidal reports Tagged with britain daniel hannan debt economy europe interest rates international monetary fund stockmarket stress tests united states Previous Page subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tag/europe/page/2/ (2013-02-03)
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  • barefoot investor : third wave group
    are declining sharply To understand these current declines it is important to understand the dramatic effect the federal government s First Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia barefoot investor first home owners international monetary fund jeremy grantham louis christopher real estate steve keen subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen louis christopher market history mike shedlock oecd psychology real estate recession robert prechter sentiment sovereign debt steve keen stimulus stockmarket super profits tax technical analysis terry mccrann undersupply united states archives November 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tag/barefoot-investor/ (2013-02-03)
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  • michael stutchbury : third wave group
    that property investment was not a sure bet He was quite specific in his warning saying I think it is a mistake to Filed under general posts Tagged with australia global financial crisis michael stutchbury warwick mckibbin subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen louis christopher market history mike shedlock oecd psychology real estate recession robert prechter sentiment sovereign debt steve keen stimulus stockmarket super profits tax technical analysis terry mccrann undersupply united states archives November 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011 April 2011 March 2011 February 2011

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tag/michael-stutchbury/ (2013-02-03)
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  • andrew sorkin : third wave group
    On the day of the announcement the Dow Jones fell 500 points which was the largest one day fall since the attacks on Filed under tidal reports Tagged with andrew sorkin anton valukas diane olick global financial crisis karl denninger lehman repo 105 subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen louis christopher market history mike shedlock oecd psychology real estate recession robert prechter sentiment sovereign debt steve keen stimulus stockmarket super profits tax technical analysis terry mccrann undersupply united states archives November 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tag/andrew-sorkin/ (2013-02-03)
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  • repo 105 : third wave group
    into the Global Financial Crisis was the collapse in September 2008 of the 158 year old US investment bank Lehman Brothers On the day of the announcement the Dow Jones fell 500 points which was the largest one day fall since the attacks on Filed under tidal reports Tagged with andrew sorkin anton valukas diane olick global financial crisis karl denninger lehman repo 105 subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen louis christopher market history mike shedlock oecd psychology real estate recession robert prechter sentiment sovereign debt steve keen stimulus stockmarket super profits

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tag/repo-105/ (2013-02-03)
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  • Tidal Report – 20 Dec 2009 – Debtwatch No. 41 : third wave group
    the cause of it excessive levels of private debt has not been addressed They are recommending winding back the government stimulus packages in the belief that the economy can now return to normal after the disturbance of the GFC In fact normal for the last half century has been an unsustainable growth in debt which has finally reached an apogee from which it will fall As it falls by an unwillingness to lend by bankers and to borrow by businesses and households by deliberate debt reductions by default and bankruptcy aggregate demand will be reduced well below aggregate supply The economy will therefore falter and only regular government stimuli will revive it This however will be a Zombie Capitalism the private sector s reductions in debt will counter the public sector s attempts to stimulate the economy via debt financed spending Growth if it occurs will not be sufficiently high to prevent growing unemployment and growth is likely to evaporate as soon as stimulus packages are removed The Tidal Report is taking a break over the holidays and will be back next year Thank you for all you support over the inaugural year of the Tidal Report and we look forward to your company next year Category tidal reports Tags debt global financial crisis steve keen Leave A Comment Click here to cancel reply Name required Mail will not be published required Website subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tidal-report/tidal-report-20-dec-2009-debtwatch-no-41/ (2013-02-03)
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  • Tidal Report – 6 Dec 2009 – Great shorting opportunity looms : third wave group
    While the massive government action has appeared to ease the severity of the crisis superficially prominent economist Professor Steve Keen feels it has failed to fix the problem It still has not addressed the cause of the crisis the excessive level of private debt and the transition from a period of decades in which rising debt fuelled aggregate demand to one in which the private sector s attempts to reduce debt will subtract from aggregate demand For that reason I do not share the belief that the GFC is behind us while the level of private debt remains as gargantuan as it is today the global economy remains financially fragile and a return to growth as usual is highly unlikely since that growth will no longer be propelled by rising levels of private debt The complete Steve Keen article goes into far more detail and for those interested it is well worth a read December 2009 4 Years of Calling the GFC While the various market falls throughout 2008 and the beginning of 2009 were dramatic the recent recoveries have been equally dramatic and again have occurred in near unison Stockmarkets have risen between 50 and 70 per cent oil has startled again rising 150 per cent and gold has this week made new all time highs with an increase of 80 per cent since its lows The correlation between the various asset classes is a testament to how hot money is flowing to risk recreating the bubbles of 2007 see The Mother of all Bubbles for further discussion on the dynamics of the bubble recreation Which brings us back to our opening statement odds are increasing that a highly profitable shorting opportunity has arrived The rise and rise of stockmarkets is technically looking very long in the tooth and it is inevitable that a substantial correction at least will occur The appetite for risk can change quickly The reaction to the Dubai World debt problems last week showed just how vulnerable the risk trade is This week a similar reaction occurred although this time to good news Friday saw the release of the US unemployment numbers which showed a decrease in unemployment from 10 2 per cent to 10 per cent Markets jumped with the S P 500 up 2 per cent shortly after the news came out This was short lived however The stock markets turned on a dime and reversed most of the day s gains and oil and gold had intraday falls of 3 5 and 6 per cent respectively This response is ominous There has been a topping process occurring over the last month with choppy sideways moves and uncertain price action In fact since our advice on 25 October 2009 that being long is the riskiest position to be in right now as a major turn is at hand the Australian market has been in a trading range and is actually down nearly 4 per cent The market is truly looking very tired When

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tidal-report/tidal-report-6-dec-2009-great-shorting-opportunity-looms/ (2013-02-03)
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  • richard russell : third wave group
    high of 26 April the average daily move has been 260 points or about 2 5 per cent and every single Filed under tidal reports Tagged with great depression market history psychology richard russell robert prechter stockmarket technical analysis united states subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen louis christopher market history mike shedlock oecd psychology real estate recession robert prechter sentiment sovereign debt steve keen stimulus stockmarket super profits tax technical analysis terry mccrann undersupply united states archives November 2011 September 2011 August 2011 July 2011 June 2011 May 2011 April 2011

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/tag/richard-russell/ (2013-02-03)
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