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  • 2009 July : third wave group
    most recent publication Leithner argues with great passion that Kevin Rudd is not as he claims an economic conservative but is in fact an economic illiterate Leithner s Filed under tidal reports Tagged with chris leithner crusoe economics kevin rudd stockmarket Tidal Report 12 Jul 2009 You have come too late the recession is over Posted by Tracey Watts on July 12 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 34 Gentleman you have come sixty days too late The depression is over said Herbert Hoover to a delegation requesting a public works program to help speed the recovery in June 1930 How wrong he was The US stock market did not bottom until nearly two years later in June 1932 and the economy Filed under tidal reports Tagged with debt eichengreen and o rourke great depression market history oecd steve keen stockmarket Tidal Report 5 Jul 2009 China the Great Hope Posted by Tracey Watts on July 5 2009 3 Comments Issue 33 Last week the OECD raised its China growth forecast from 6 3 per cent to 7 7 percent At the same time the World Bank raised its forecast from 6 5 per cent to 7 2 per cent While the forecasting track record of these bodies might be considered dubious at best it does indicate in a Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia china commodities fitch stephen roach stimulus subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/07/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2009 June : third wave group
    of 4079 4 holds then we would expect the market to retrace to at least the 3 450 to 3 700 range For the moment it certainly looks like the Filed under tidal reports Tagged with demographia report housing affordability neil jenman real estate stockmarket Tidal Report 14 Jun 2009 Herd Mentality Posted by Tracey Watts on June 14 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 30 Optimism continues to reign supreme In Australia employment figures released this week were greeted warmly The unemployment rate increased 0 2 per cent for the month with only 1700 jobs being lost The figure was an astounding 30 000 below what those reliable economists were predicting However the number of full time workers fell 26 200 indicating Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia employment first home owners real estate stockmarket Tidal Report 7 Jun 2009 The Recession we aren t having Posted by Tracey Watts on June 7 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 29 The apparent good news this week is that the economy is not technically in recession As the Prime Minister and Treasurer ebulliently take credit for the unexpected outcome the truth behind the headline GDP number is worrying What is more disquieting however is that the government seems to believe recession prevention is all Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia china henry ergas recession stimulus stockmarket subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/06/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2009 May : third wave group
    Economic Forecasting Alchemy Posted by Tracey Watts on May 17 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 26 On 12 November 2008 the ABC s Kerry O Brien was interviewing Treasurer Wayne Swan O Brien So let me hear in plain English that the budget is within a hair s breadth of going into deficit It seems silly that anybody would bother to argue that proposition Will you accept going into deficit if you have Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia budget debt deficit economy europe great depression intergenerational report kerry o brien recession stockmarket treasury wayne swan Tidal Report 10 May 2009 Britain a Third World Country Posted by Tracey Watts on May 10 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 25 The dramatic rally seen in most stockmarkets around the world continued again this week after only the briefest of pauses in April In Australia the S P ASX 200 rose 4 6 per cent to 3 941 7 within striking distance of the psychologically important 4 000 level for the first time in six months Since the rally began in Filed under tidal reports Tagged with britain daniel hannan debt economy europe interest rates international monetary fund stockmarket stress tests united states Tidal Report 3 May 2009 It s a Bear Market Posted by Tracey Watts on May 3 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 24 Stockmarkets around the world continued their recent positive momentum closing higher again for the week This is despite the rising concern of swine flu becoming a global pandemic US giant Chrysler going into Chapter 11 bankruptcy and locally disappointing earnings from ANZ Banking Group National Australia Bank and Macquarie Group In Australia the Filed under tidal reports Tagged with economy george soros mike smith paul volker recession stockmarket subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/05/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2009 April : third wave group
    7 a rise of 2 9 per cent It has now gained 25 per cent from the five year low of March 9 making it the largest rally in this 18 month bear market In the US Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia psychology stockmarket technical analysis vix Tidal Report 13 Apr 2009 The Onion Hits the Nail on the Head Posted by Tracey Watts on April 13 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 21 The rally lost a little steam this week with the S P ASX 200 losing 1 7 per cent although the US was modestly higher for the week with the S P 500 up 1 7 per cent The US markets made new highs for this bear market rally with the S P 500 now up 29 per cent Filed under tidal reports Tagged with interest rates stockmarket Tidal Report 5 Apr 2009 Nouriel Roubini Talks About U Posted by Tracey Watts on April 5 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 20 Four weeks of positive performance from the S P ASX 200 has seen the index rise nearly 20 per cent from the bear market low of 3120 on March 10 Quite a bear market rally It is in fact the 7th rally since the start of the bear market in November 2007 three of which Filed under tidal reports Tagged with economy nouriel roubini psychology stockmarket united states subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/04/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2009 March : third wave group
    Tidal Report 15 Mar 2009 The History of Gold Posted by Tracey Watts on March 15 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 17 All the share markets we follow staged impressive rallies during the week particularly the US with the S P 500 and the Nasdaq both up over 10 per cent The Asian markets including Australia staged slightly less impressive rallies although the S P ASX 200 was up over 6 per cent for the week This rally Filed under tidal reports Tagged with gold robert prechter stockmarket Tidal Report 8 Mar 2009 Is the Market Cheap Posted by Tracey Watts on March 8 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 16 Most world markets continued to fall this week making dangerously decisive moves to the downside Whilst there was hope early in the week that the S P ASX 200 was starting to disconnect from US markets by staying above its November 2008 low that hope proved to be futile The US markets are now trading Filed under tidal reports Tagged with bailout great depression p e ratio stockmarket Tidal Report 1 Mar 2009 The Japanese Example Posted by Tracey Watts on March 1 2009 1 Comment Issue 15 As we forecast last week most world markets have made decisive moves to the downside This is the start of what we feel will be a final impulse lower before the commencement of a rally that should last at least several months The S P ASX 200 however has yet to decisively break below its Filed under tidal reports Tagged with commodities economy japan psychology stimulus stockmarket subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/03/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2009 February : third wave group
    breached For the S P ASX 200 we are still waiting for moves either below 3300 or above 3600 to get some sense of the direction in Filed under tidal reports Tagged with crude oil market history stockmarket Tidal Report 8 Feb 2009 The Burden of Debt Posted by Tracey Watts on February 8 2009 2 Comments Issue 12 Markets around the world are still lacking direction All markets followed are still well within the trading ranges that have been defined over the last couple of months Our bias for the US markets is still for a further leg down before the final low of the bear market is reached In the Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia interest rates john maynard keynes mark latham milton friedman stimulus stockmarket Tidal Report 1 Feb 2009 Property Anecdotes Posted by Tracey Watts on February 1 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 11 The volatility and lack of direction in the market continues While the S P ASX 200 ended the week up a pleasing 5 9 per cent it followed on from last week s drop of 5 9 per cent Currently the Australian market is unable to show any true trend and has been bouncing around in a trading Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia economy japan louis christopher real estate stockmarket united states subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/02/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2009 January : third wave group
    real estate stockmarket Tidal Report 18 Jan 2009 2009 The Year of Transition Posted by Tracey Watts on January 18 2009 3 Comments Issue 9 Now is the time when market commentators give their stock market predictions for the coming year It seems from the various published views the vast majority see a positive year for the market although this is generally tempered with the follow up opinion that it will also be a tough year economically The Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia investment psychology stockmarket technical analysis Tidal Report 11 Jan 2009 Honey I Shrunk the Economy Posted by Tracey Watts on January 11 2009 Leave a Comment Issue 8 Welcome to 2009 which promises to be a very interesting and challenging year for world economies and consequently stock markets We have previously spoken about the extraordinary nature of this market downturn which commenced with stock indices in November 2007 and commodities in July 2008 It has been the most vicious wealth destruction Filed under tidal reports Tagged with china great depression market history stockmarket subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen louis christopher market history mike shedlock oecd psychology

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2009/01/ (2013-02-03)
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  • 2008 December : third wave group
    by Tracey Watts on December 7 2008 Leave a Comment Issue 6 This week markets around the world gave back some of the prior weeks dramatic rally The S P ASX 200 gave back more than most down 6 7 per cent and ending the week at 3489 9 The S P ASX 200 is now up only 8 5 per cent from its most recent lows and the markets are struggling Filed under tidal reports Tagged with australia britain credit debt deflation real estate stockmarket subscribe Have our blog posts delivered straight to your inbox categories general posts tidal reports latest posts The story silver tells Is the end game in sight for Greece Descending the Slope of Hope Australia s sugar daddy stalling What housing undersupply Australian banks vulnerable still Chicken or egg the unemployment effect The recovery that isn t McKibbin you ve done it again What does this chart tell you tag cloud alan kohler australia banks ben bernanke britain china commodities currency debt deflation deleveraging demographia report economy employment europe first home owners global financial crisis great depression greece interest rates international monetary fund ireland japan jim chanos karl denninger kevin rudd leith van onselen

    Original URL path: http://www.thirdwavegroup.com.au/2008/12/ (2013-02-03)
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