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  • Australian Open Day 12 Predictions and Betting Options » The Profits | The Profits
    for Andy Murray vs Roger Federer Friday night on Rod Laver Arena Both players have had contrasting runs to the SFs one with the easiest and one with the most difficult Andy Murray has had an absolute dream run to this point The biggest problem he has had is not being allocated a night match so far this year Cruising through without dropping a set Murray has had minimal challenges up until this point Gilles Simon was lucky to take the court in the 4 th round and Jeremy Chardy in the QF just looked happy to be there Roger Federer had it all his own way until he came up against jo Wilfired Tsonga on Wednesday night He played some of the best tiebreak tennis you will ever see in that match but he still wasn t particularly convincing I am the first to admit I had my doubts over Federer as we entered that last set but like all great players do he stepped it up when he needed The Conditions This is the first night match of the tournament for Andy Murray He has been particularly annoyed with the scheduling so far but you don t get night matches if you aren t playing big high quality matches like we have seen over the last week Andy Murray doesn t seem like he enjoys change too much He likes what is familiar to him and if those conditions are changed then there is a bit of an adjustment period for Murray This was evident in his third round match with Berankis He wasn t quite his usual self It was his first match on Rod Laver Arena having played his first two rounds over at Hisense Arena Although he still won comfortably it wasn t vintage Murray Head to Head Andy Murray Leads 10 9 Roger Federer Leads 3 0 in Grand Slams all 3 are in Grand Slam Finals The Final Word You ll have noticed over the last fortnight that I am interested heavily in previous meetings and trends I have seen a lot of talk on social media about how Federer is 3 0 in Grand Slam meetings against Murray as if that is all that really matters Let s have a look at those matches All three of them came in finals and all three of them came prior to Andy breaking his Grand Slam hoodoo This is a completely different scenario This isn t a final this isn t a Grand Slamless Murray The history means nothing Here is how I see tonight panning out I think Federer gets the jump on Murray as Andy will take a little while to adjust to not only the night conditions but having a quality player across the net from him It wouldn t surprise me at all to see Federer take the first set Overall though I think this is going to be a tight set that Murray should win But I am not

    Original URL path: https://www.theprofits.com.au/2013/01/australian-open-day-12-predictions-and-betting-options/ (2013-02-03)
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  • The Profits - Turning Gamblers into Traders - Part 3
    week 2 of the Australian Open with 3 3 on plays posted on site and the tweeted suggested play of Simon Murray under 27 5 games all winning Best Bets Berdych vs Djokovic Tie Break WILL be Played 1 77 at Sportingbet you may get higher closer to match time Continue reading 2 comments Permanent link to this article https www theprofits com au 2013 01 australian open day 9 predictions and betting options Jan 21 Never count out a seeded player Categories Articles Tennis by TheProfits January 21 2013 The first round of the Australian Open seems like it was several days away now because it was but there were some interesting learning to take out of it and also round two for future grand slams Of the men s seeds playing in the first round only four were knocked out with Juan Monaco the Continue reading Leave comment Permanent link to this article https www theprofits com au 2013 01 never count out a seeded player Jan 21 Australian Open Day 8 Predictions and Betting Options Categories Tennis by TheProfits January 21 2013 Welcome to the second week of the Australian Open The first week absolutely flew by with some big upsets and some epic matches served up for us You couldn t help but be on the edge of your seat last night as Novak Djokovic was tested by Stanislas Wawrinka It is a shame that so much Continue reading Leave comment Permanent link to this article https www theprofits com au 2013 01 australian open day 8 predictions and betting options Jan 20 Australian Open Day 7 Predictions and Betting Options Categories Tennis by TheProfits January 20 2013 What a great day of tennis caped off by one of the best games of Tennis I have

    Original URL path: https://www.theprofits.com.au/page/3/ (2013-02-03)
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  • Horse Racing Form – Oaks Day – Flemington – Thursday 8 November » The Profits | The Profits
    Strategy About seven of these runners have very strong form lines We feel that Serene Star is very progressive and has been all prep Will eat up the straight track and be very hard to hold out Dystopia speedmaps well into the race and if the track is suiting runners near the front could steal it Royal Bender is due a win 2 units Serene Star 1 Unit Dystopia 0 5 units Royal Bender Flemington Race 4 Cavalry Rose Given every chance last start at Moonee Valley and couldn t produce Down in class but up in weight today Will be suited by the rail but doesn t have the ability to beat some of these Snipzu Disappointing last two starts Needs to improve today to have a chance Dashitude Won easy first up but was found out in much harder company This looks to be similar company today and will struggle Agueda Brave horse who keeps on putting in solid runs Will run a very solid race but at the weight should be found out by one or two horses here today Meidung More suited by the 1200m race than previous two over 1400m and 1500m 1 8L behind Nechita three back looks very good form now Will go close Saturn Rock Keeps putting in solid runs bad meets Agueda 1kg better off today even though was a nose behind her last start Should go close but barrier 1 may hurt for a run Isabella Snowflake Huge win first up and huge win again last start Kolonga who was 3L behind ran in for a good place on Tuesday Down 4kg and we know will handle the straight Looks the best in this race on form Brave Soul Ran two super races previously up in Sydney behind Urban Groove and then Better than Ready Will be there at the finish on form Seaside Super progressive horse and if trained on will be going close Burndiniburn Some good runs but not good enough today Sumakaray Won well first up in a very slow time and then a nice medium speed won very well last start Progressive and will go well today Sheza Single Girl Outclassed Shamal Wind Good maiden win but not good enough here Zarzing Outclassed Confidence 85 Exotics 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 13 Strategy One of the hardest races of the day in terms of depth from Melbourne and Sydney form We are very very keen on Isabella Snowflake who hasn t looked like losing any of her preps Will handle the trip straight track and is weighted nicely We believe it is a hard race but the price is value We will be going very hard with a bet also on Brave Soul who is in with a chance 5 units Isabella Snowflake 1 5 units Brave Soul The best value in the race though has to be Isabella Snowflake to place We will be getting above 2 for it and that is simply value Flemington Race 5 The Big Steel Never won first up and suited to longer distances Weighted harshly and would need to have trained on brilliantly for a chance today Vilakazi Street Hasn t finished within 2 8L this start Has put in some nice runs and is down in class today but up to 58kg Needs to improve to win today King Cobweb Outclassed on previous runs and first up didn t show enough New Beginning Ignore last start and look to two and three back Solid runs in close to or better races than this Last start was run in slow time and front runners given no chance Will go well today Specter Much better this prep than previous but doesn t seem to have the quality Emboldened Good up in Darwin and come down and won first up at Bendigo in a easier race Will be tested today but should run well Dash for Viz Nice second behind Elusive touch in a slow time Will need a bit of luck to win today from barrier 18 Jakcorijim Up from Tasmania Very hard to tell how he will go today but the times being run have been ok Palmyra Boy Outclassed on previous runs Arinosa Super prep and Mosse Diva going close on Tuesday franks the form Weighted to win today Translation Outclassed on first up run Keep it Moist Much harder race today than what he has won in up in Queensland Run Diego Much harder than last start Should still run well Dashalot Outclassed Wannajewel Weighted nicely today but does look outclassed Ametsis Decent run last start Could run on well today Confidence 80 Exotics 4 5 6 7 10 17 Strategy Very keen in this race that out of our top two is the winner Arinosa should be the one but New Beginning isn t close behind at all on our ratings 2 Units Arinosa 1 5 Units New Beginning Flemington Race 6 Dear Demi Should be suited by the wide barrier today and hopefully pushes further forward than last start Should run out the 2500m with no issue Meets Zydeco 2 5kg better off today Zydeco Super win last start due Barrier 7 means she may not get a perfect run like last start but chances are she will Will be coming hard late Mama s Choice Outclassed on previous runs Alzora Won very well last start over the 2000m and should handle the 2500m no problems Should get a perfect run from barrier 5 Transonic Nice run last start from the front Will run well again today Maraatib Ran a big race at a big price Wants further and from barrier 3 will get another good ride Ireland s Teardrop Blocked for runs last start and should run well again today Summerbliss Good run last start Needs to improve again today from barrier 1 Kate Looks outclassed Tyanna Didn t show enough last start Didn t seem to handle the distance La Zuma

    Original URL path: https://www.theprofits.com.au/2012/11/horse-racing-form-oaks-day-flemington-thursday-8-november/?replytocom=2434 (2013-02-03)
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  • Horse Racing Form – Oaks Day – Flemington – Thursday 8 November » The Profits | The Profits
    Strategy About seven of these runners have very strong form lines We feel that Serene Star is very progressive and has been all prep Will eat up the straight track and be very hard to hold out Dystopia speedmaps well into the race and if the track is suiting runners near the front could steal it Royal Bender is due a win 2 units Serene Star 1 Unit Dystopia 0 5 units Royal Bender Flemington Race 4 Cavalry Rose Given every chance last start at Moonee Valley and couldn t produce Down in class but up in weight today Will be suited by the rail but doesn t have the ability to beat some of these Snipzu Disappointing last two starts Needs to improve today to have a chance Dashitude Won easy first up but was found out in much harder company This looks to be similar company today and will struggle Agueda Brave horse who keeps on putting in solid runs Will run a very solid race but at the weight should be found out by one or two horses here today Meidung More suited by the 1200m race than previous two over 1400m and 1500m 1 8L behind Nechita three back looks very good form now Will go close Saturn Rock Keeps putting in solid runs bad meets Agueda 1kg better off today even though was a nose behind her last start Should go close but barrier 1 may hurt for a run Isabella Snowflake Huge win first up and huge win again last start Kolonga who was 3L behind ran in for a good place on Tuesday Down 4kg and we know will handle the straight Looks the best in this race on form Brave Soul Ran two super races previously up in Sydney behind Urban Groove and then Better than Ready Will be there at the finish on form Seaside Super progressive horse and if trained on will be going close Burndiniburn Some good runs but not good enough today Sumakaray Won well first up in a very slow time and then a nice medium speed won very well last start Progressive and will go well today Sheza Single Girl Outclassed Shamal Wind Good maiden win but not good enough here Zarzing Outclassed Confidence 85 Exotics 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 13 Strategy One of the hardest races of the day in terms of depth from Melbourne and Sydney form We are very very keen on Isabella Snowflake who hasn t looked like losing any of her preps Will handle the trip straight track and is weighted nicely We believe it is a hard race but the price is value We will be going very hard with a bet also on Brave Soul who is in with a chance 5 units Isabella Snowflake 1 5 units Brave Soul The best value in the race though has to be Isabella Snowflake to place We will be getting above 2 for it and that is simply value Flemington Race 5 The Big Steel Never won first up and suited to longer distances Weighted harshly and would need to have trained on brilliantly for a chance today Vilakazi Street Hasn t finished within 2 8L this start Has put in some nice runs and is down in class today but up to 58kg Needs to improve to win today King Cobweb Outclassed on previous runs and first up didn t show enough New Beginning Ignore last start and look to two and three back Solid runs in close to or better races than this Last start was run in slow time and front runners given no chance Will go well today Specter Much better this prep than previous but doesn t seem to have the quality Emboldened Good up in Darwin and come down and won first up at Bendigo in a easier race Will be tested today but should run well Dash for Viz Nice second behind Elusive touch in a slow time Will need a bit of luck to win today from barrier 18 Jakcorijim Up from Tasmania Very hard to tell how he will go today but the times being run have been ok Palmyra Boy Outclassed on previous runs Arinosa Super prep and Mosse Diva going close on Tuesday franks the form Weighted to win today Translation Outclassed on first up run Keep it Moist Much harder race today than what he has won in up in Queensland Run Diego Much harder than last start Should still run well Dashalot Outclassed Wannajewel Weighted nicely today but does look outclassed Ametsis Decent run last start Could run on well today Confidence 80 Exotics 4 5 6 7 10 17 Strategy Very keen in this race that out of our top two is the winner Arinosa should be the one but New Beginning isn t close behind at all on our ratings 2 Units Arinosa 1 5 Units New Beginning Flemington Race 6 Dear Demi Should be suited by the wide barrier today and hopefully pushes further forward than last start Should run out the 2500m with no issue Meets Zydeco 2 5kg better off today Zydeco Super win last start due Barrier 7 means she may not get a perfect run like last start but chances are she will Will be coming hard late Mama s Choice Outclassed on previous runs Alzora Won very well last start over the 2000m and should handle the 2500m no problems Should get a perfect run from barrier 5 Transonic Nice run last start from the front Will run well again today Maraatib Ran a big race at a big price Wants further and from barrier 3 will get another good ride Ireland s Teardrop Blocked for runs last start and should run well again today Summerbliss Good run last start Needs to improve again today from barrier 1 Kate Looks outclassed Tyanna Didn t show enough last start Didn t seem to handle the distance La Zuma

    Original URL path: https://www.theprofits.com.au/2012/11/horse-racing-form-oaks-day-flemington-thursday-8-november/?replytocom=2377 (2013-02-03)
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  • Horse Racing Form – Moonee Valley – Thursday 20 December » The Profits | The Profits
    55kg Noisette An excuse horse You are sure to get another excuse after this run Paris Secrets Times too poor for here today and already beaten by Octavia two back easily Schussing Outclassed Zarzing Probably the most interesting runner Never a chance two back and won a maiden last start from start to finish Looks held on weights but has ability Confidence 70 Moonee Valley Race 5 Day Procedure Progressive type who can front run today 58 5kg after claim with one of the leading apprentices on board Didn t seem to enjoy a slow ground last start last prep but two before that over the 1000m was super winning by 2L in much harder company From barrier 3 can take the lead and never be headed Tabasco Force After first up loss just keeps progressing Won the 950 at course and distance last start in a solid time Up in class today and down 0 5kg after claim From barrier 5 will most likely get a nice position outside of Day Procedure and be there at the end Benedictus Keeps on finding one too good for her Has the times and ability to win today but from barrier 8 will be taking a sit May appreciate this way of going today Snip The Dancer Not in this class today Good And Hot Beat Alices Virtue two back who then progressed onwards Disappointing last start at Caulfield but off 52kg today may go close will try and lead this up Confidence 80 Quaddie leg one 1 4 Moonee Valley Race 6 Highness Previous run solidly in this class with a win Down to 56 5kg today which suits and from barrier 6 can sit in a winning position Signor Socks Not the worst in the race today 3 5kg better off than last start 3L loss Has the ability and seems to be progressing this prep Barrier 3 suits Tiger Stripe May appreciate the 1200m more than 950m today Was fairly unlucky last start when blocked for run Has the ability on previous runs and has won second up before Barrier 1 means a strong forward sit Jamaican Warrior Disappointed last start at Bendigo before a 8 month break Back today with 1 win from 1 in this class was on a slow track If we get a slow or worse track due to rains this is the one to beat Hygeld Well weighted today but seems to be wanting further Strato Mostro Has won second up and likes this distance Step up in class again today an issue Star Bender Nice win last start in what looked like much easier company Will be sitting a little far back from barrier 7 for my liking Centuron Not classy enough Confidence 75 Quaddie leg two 1 3 5 8 Moonee Valley Race 7 Champagne Esprit Slightly down in class today but this company looks a little harder On previous runs has ability and looked ok after spell but needs to find

    Original URL path: https://www.theprofits.com.au/2012/12/horse-racing-form-moonee-valley-thursday-20-december/?replytocom=4718 (2013-02-03)
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  • Melbourne Cup Flemington Horse Racing Form Tuesday 6 November » The Profits | The Profits
    second up Classy Chloe Won 3 placed 2 from 6 at this distance but hasn t been as good this prep compared to last Had to go over the Adelaide to sneak out a win last start Weighted nicely but barrier 12 means hard work early Can win Cabernet Never won second up Weighted nicely but didn t show enough first up Will get a nice run from barrier 1 Aerobatics Keeps getting blocked for runs and could continue from barrier 4 Never won at distance and never been to track Koonoomoo Super run last two starts when just beaten in both Weighted to win today but barrier 18 will be an issue Never won at class but ignore that stat Sheila s Star Ignore first up run where taken to last for some reason and never given a proper ride Will be fit enough today and pushing forward hopefully from a more suitable distance Rates to win when you consider Bonaria BIG run last last start at course and distance Keeps progressing and should run very well Simply Put Outclassed on previous runs New Beginning Very good two and three back up in Sydney but was terrible last start Could produce best and run very close Twilighting Weighted nicely in this race and will go close if given a solid ride Confidence 70 Strategy Strong field but happy to have a good go at Whateverwhenever with Sheila s Star forgiven from last start and Bonaria savered 1 5 units Whateverwhenever 0 75 units Sheila s Star and 0 25 units Bonaria Flemington Race 5 The Travelling Man Rate poorly coming into this race Hasn t been within more than 2L this prep and seems to have gone backwards Weigthed out of it Malasun Huge step up in class last start Was a very bold play by the owners Lead a furious pace and ended up 5L behind Buffering which isn t a bad result coming into thsi race Big issue is that first up didn t produce enough in similar class race Weighted nicely today and could run well but is still a big query If produces similar run to first ever race beating Members Joy by 1 3L wins here Magnier Ignore last start where didn t race normally Needs to produce a much better run than last four starts to win here Has the ability Sistine Demon Decent first up run behind Isabella Snowflake who would be winning here today Need to have trained on a few lengths Kolonga Much better weighted here than Sistine Demon is On weights could go close but issue is previous two runs this prep Genteel Quality first up win in much easier company in a decently run race Down 3 5kg and could be there at the line on form Potiche Outclassed on two previous runs Hyperventilate Outclassed on last start Thanks A Million Couldn t even win a maiden so can t have today Confidence 80 Strategy Looks a two horse race for us Happy to go hard Genteel and softer Malasun Genteel 3 units to win Malasun 1 5 units to win Flemington Race 6 Big Chill Ran on gamely last start but does seem outclassed in this grade Needs to produce an effort 3 4L better Angelic Light Won a slowly run 1200m ran last start infront of Agueda who is a solid horse Up 1kg Has ability to win Mareeza Tow back 0 1L behind Cavalry Rose whose form is over hyped Was still a very game second Last start blocked for run at MV but still not the best run Down 3kg does suit today but needs to produce a career best run today Balaclava Lady Ran bravely for us last start at MV but just didn t produce enough from the back of the field in a race ran to suit front runners Down 3kg and could be running on big time today Ciao Nice run last start behind A Time for Julia but seems slightly outclassed today on form lines Medusa s Miss Blundered at start last start and was ridden wide the whole race due to the track Super fast 1400m race and won very well Down 1kg today and will be very hard to hold out with form lines around Jolie Bay Walk with Atittude Disappointed last start and only 1 5kg better off today Down to 1400m may suit Needs a slowly run race to have a shot Coins Not classy enough on weights today Thunder Rain Not classy enough on last start form May decide to go further forward today which does give her more of a chance Amarachi Outclassed Benenden Super win last start in much easier company in very slowly run time Has a good sprint but 3L behind Angelic Light three back at Kilmore tells us not classy enough today Latino Goss Outclassed Catered Really liked its run last start but needs to find 2L more today Confidence 85 Strategy One of our biggest goes of the day Medusa s Miss form lines are super and Balaclava Lady down in weight will also run a brave race 4 units to win and place on Medusa s Miss 1 5 units to win on Balaclava Lady Flemington Race 7 Dunaden Super win by nearly a length at Caulfield last start with Alcopop franking the form beating the Cox Plate winner on Saturday Up 1kg oh no for that monsterous run Was a race set up for the swoopers it has to be said Undefeated in Australia and could very much continue to be after this race Big chance Americain Ridden wide standard by Mosse Oliver gets the ride which is a positive Interestingly Americain lost two plates last run which makes the 1 5L behind Dunaden absolutely super form Disappointed that we can never find out exactly where the plates were lost in the run though as that would be swaying me a bit more Loves the track and loves the distance Only issue for mine is that hasn t won a race since around this time in 2011 Does look fit enough Jakkalberry Very very average in the Caulfield Cup On previous form needs to find 4 lengths to win today Red Cadeaux Has gone backwards since the second in the Melbourne Cup Won one race last prep in lesser company but over the 2800 Before that 2nd to Colour Vision was solid 1 5L behind over the 3200m Next three starts were all over 2400m which we suspect the horse is more a 3200m type Beaten by Fiorente 4 3L last start Needs to improve today Looks to be a little under the odds from barrier 18 Winchester Keeps on finishing mid to back of fields Looks very harshly weighted today off 55 5kg No chance today Voila Ici Absolutely ignore last start run where too much pace out front The horse has never ran this distance before so massive queries over if can stay the distance Time will tell Looks overs at the price regardless on 0 5L behind Ocean Park form where produced close to careeer best Cavalryman Will be sitting very far back in the pack today which will make it very hard for the horse to swoop with the likes of Dunaden and Americain Goes well on a Good track which is a positive and has won at the distance Last run was in a Listed race over 3200m and finished 2nd which is a big worry Did win very well three back in WFA LR Just don t know if the horse has the class or ability to win today Mount Athos A big chance in the race and weighted very nicely off 54kg Should grab the rails run four back which is a nice place to be Won previous three races by 2 3L 4L and 3 3L all over the 2700 2800 and can run out the longer distances Word is that he is training very well but the last 61 internationals that have ran in the Melbourne Cup with no first up run in Australia have not won Should be contesting but needs to get a split at the right time Sanagas Has quality a year ago in the US but hasn t trained on Never ran over this distance before and never at track On previous runs including Caulfield Cup doesn t have a chance Ethiopia Only his 8th start Harshly weighted against others in the race when you consider he has only ever won the one race Was a nice run in the Cox Plate but still finished 4 3L 4th Not sure what they will do today from barrier 14 but speed maps suggest sitting in the front third of the race Has the ability to stay the 2400m but not sure he has the quality to win this Fiorente Questionable if the horse will stay the 3200m never having ran the distance before Form lines look better at the distance on a wet ground having beaten Joshua Tree and Red Cadeaux over 2400m on Slow Failed to fire against top quality horses in Sea Moon and Orfevre in other starts 53 5kg is a nice weight and positions VERY well in this race expected to take a rails sit close to the front Can run gamely Galileo s Choice You know that he will stay will stay the trip having been a hurdler over the 3200m distance previously Ran two lead up runs off 61kg winning both with ease and looks primed to win here off 53 5kg Speedmaps have him sitting about 10th in running and this should suit Will be launching around the 700m mark and staying to the line Glencadam Gold Jumped a 4 40 favourite in the Caulfield Cup Did too much early where swoopers filled the top 4 places Strangely he is out to 60 to win the Melbourne Cup This is simply overs when he has won 3 from 5 at the class and loves a good track Wouldn t have given him a chance from anything outside barrier 10 and got given 7 with not so much speed inside Will get to the front and be given a nice ride by Berry who knows how to ride the horse Kelinni who he beat home 2 runs back by 3 8L franked the form by winning on the weekend very well Simply overs and deserves your money Green Moon A massive question mark horse in this race Was never going to win last start in the Cox Plate as doesn t handle the weight Has 6 starts for 1 place 0 wins off 59kg now Down to 53 5kg today and looks much better suited Barrier 5 is PERFECT for this horse Will slot right in to sit 2 out 3 back on speedmaps Question is if he will stay out the 3200 Previous runs suggest no issue Maluckyday Hyped up Melbourne Horse Gatewood form proven to not be quality and Tanby not even placing or going close on the weekend also proves it Couldn t get within 6L of Ocean Park or others behind it three back Weighted nicely today no doubt but doesn t have the quality it once had Mourayan Unlucky not to run last year and was expected to go close Comes in this prep with a very game win last start and is expected to stay out the trip with no issues Has a 0 8L 3rd to Americain last prep on his record over the 2400m Will be sitting forward with Glencadam Gold today and not expected to put on much pace On the weights has a chance My Quest for Peace One of the few front runners in the Caulfield Cup who stayed on and produced one of the most underrated runs of the Cup Will be given absolutely the run of the race sitting behind the leader on the rails Has stayed out the 2800m trip before so 3200m shouldn t be an issue Weighted to win this Big hope Niwot Not good enough to win today Hasn t gone within 3 8L the last four starts all this prep Tac De Boistron 11 rides for 0 wins 0 places on a Good track Day should start dead and go to Good by the time of the race If somehow we had a freak storm then he is in with a chance but even then wouldn t be backing it Lights of Heaven Ran in for third in the Caulfield Cup Unlucky barrier draw today means she will have to work extra hard to get a position up forward which is expected to be one our one back Seems to be wanting the distance on previous form and could be running on to the line strongly Suspect there will be a few too good in this race for her off the last few starts Precedence Outclassed in this race Never won or placed at distance from 4 attempts Unusual Suspect How Brigitan or Gatewood didn t get a go before this horse I have no idea Shown 0 form since arriving in Australia and hasn t won a race since 2010 This makes our Cup look like a joke to those who pay to fly their horses over Zabeelionaire Decent run in the Caulfield Cup off the 52k and ran on strongly behind Alcopop 2L on the weekend I can t see it winning but I can certainly see the horse running in for a place if everything goes right The big negative is the speed map for it Kelinni Super progressive horse who won a very solid 2500m race and is given no weight today jumping from 51kg Barrier 10 is a great get for the team also Should sit 2 out 4 5 back which will suit the horse If a solid tempo is on may be one of the best chances in the race on weights Issue is that off 52kg still didn t get close to Glencadam Gold two back Confidence 70 Strategy 5 units My Quest for Peace 1 unit Glencadam Gold 2 units Dunaden Saver bet on Galileo s Choice and Americain Quaddie leg one 1 2 8 12 13 14 17 24 Top 10 My Quest for Peace Glencadam Gold Dunaden Galileo s Choice Americain Kelinni Green Moon Lights of Heaven Mount Athos Red Cadeaux Mourayan Flemington Race 8 Lightinthenite Very brave Group 3 win last start at Caulfield and previous run 2L behind Fat Al also classy 60kg is a very harsh weight penalty today but will certainly be there at the end getting a good run from barrier 5 Stout Hearted Goes back as always 60kg is harsh but when you look to two runs back 1 5L behind Lamasery can swoop with the weight Three back form beating Crafy Irna has held up with Crafty Irna winning in the last two weeks Hard to hold out today 2 wins 2 places from 4 at distance Extra Zero Not the worst run last start 3L off and previous behind Lightinthenite was solid meeting him 3kg better off today Needs to sit closer to the speed to have a chance Grey Assignment Rates to win today Been going very strongly in Queensland winning four of last five races and times are solid Run of race from barrier 2 and loves the distance Only issue will be if measures up to the runners today off the 59 5kg King Diamond Suited to the distance and two of previous three runs been solid Won 3 from 4 at track which is impressive but does need to find a few more lengths today Maules Creek Solid run two back 2 3L behind Mourayan but not good enough last start behind Lightinthenite Better weighted today but still needs to find a few more lengths Eraset Returned poorly this prep First up run was ok second run very average and last start even worse Mr Chard Outclassed Spacecraft Very average last start in much harder race and also bad two back Never won or placed at track from 4 starts Eclair Surprise Nice win last start over 1600m when losing a plate Two back form franked with Texas Warney winning the Horsham Cup Can run a very game race but does need to improve 1 win from 1 at distance and 1 win from 2 starts at track Tribal Rock Form is solid from three runs this prep Weighted nicely and Oliver on board Blocked for run and almost ran down Callanish last start Barrier 4 suits Menados Good run first up but last two runs found issues Goes well at distance but needs to get a clear run Confidence 70 Strategy A tough race Think Stout Hearted is suited today and Grey Assignment has been going super 2 units Stout Hearted 1 5 units Grey Assignment Quaddie leg two 1 2 5 11 12 Flemington Race 9 Green Birdie 3 starts at track for 0 wins 0 places Best is behind him but does keep producing solid runs Needs to find another length and a half today Hot Snitzel Ended last prep poorly and didn t show enough first up this prep to impress 0 wins or places from 4 second up Excellantes Big win last start behind Sea Lord Down 3 5kg today Goes well at the distance and will be producing another solid run Rockpecker Never won from 10 starts firs tup even though went close last start Does nicely at track and distance but needs to produce something special today Danzylum Produced one solid run last start 0 8L behind SOuthern Speed at Caulfield On weights rather be on something else first up after 7 months off Famous Seamus Big run last start in a crazy time over the 1100m 1 01 9 Hardly ever see horses break the 1 02 Has the

    Original URL path: https://www.theprofits.com.au/2012/11/melbourne-cup-flemington-horse-racing-form-tuesday-6-november/?replytocom=2286 (2013-02-03)
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  • Melbourne Cup Flemington Horse Racing Form Tuesday 6 November » The Profits | The Profits
    up Classy Chloe Won 3 placed 2 from 6 at this distance but hasn t been as good this prep compared to last Had to go over the Adelaide to sneak out a win last start Weighted nicely but barrier 12 means hard work early Can win Cabernet Never won second up Weighted nicely but didn t show enough first up Will get a nice run from barrier 1 Aerobatics Keeps getting blocked for runs and could continue from barrier 4 Never won at distance and never been to track Koonoomoo Super run last two starts when just beaten in both Weighted to win today but barrier 18 will be an issue Never won at class but ignore that stat Sheila s Star Ignore first up run where taken to last for some reason and never given a proper ride Will be fit enough today and pushing forward hopefully from a more suitable distance Rates to win when you consider Bonaria BIG run last last start at course and distance Keeps progressing and should run very well Simply Put Outclassed on previous runs New Beginning Very good two and three back up in Sydney but was terrible last start Could produce best and run very close Twilighting Weighted nicely in this race and will go close if given a solid ride Confidence 70 Strategy Strong field but happy to have a good go at Whateverwhenever with Sheila s Star forgiven from last start and Bonaria savered 1 5 units Whateverwhenever 0 75 units Sheila s Star and 0 25 units Bonaria Flemington Race 5 The Travelling Man Rate poorly coming into this race Hasn t been within more than 2L this prep and seems to have gone backwards Weigthed out of it Malasun Huge step up in class last start Was a very bold play by the owners Lead a furious pace and ended up 5L behind Buffering which isn t a bad result coming into thsi race Big issue is that first up didn t produce enough in similar class race Weighted nicely today and could run well but is still a big query If produces similar run to first ever race beating Members Joy by 1 3L wins here Magnier Ignore last start where didn t race normally Needs to produce a much better run than last four starts to win here Has the ability Sistine Demon Decent first up run behind Isabella Snowflake who would be winning here today Need to have trained on a few lengths Kolonga Much better weighted here than Sistine Demon is On weights could go close but issue is previous two runs this prep Genteel Quality first up win in much easier company in a decently run race Down 3 5kg and could be there at the line on form Potiche Outclassed on two previous runs Hyperventilate Outclassed on last start Thanks A Million Couldn t even win a maiden so can t have today Confidence 80 Strategy Looks a two horse race for us Happy to go hard Genteel and softer Malasun Genteel 3 units to win Malasun 1 5 units to win Flemington Race 6 Big Chill Ran on gamely last start but does seem outclassed in this grade Needs to produce an effort 3 4L better Angelic Light Won a slowly run 1200m ran last start infront of Agueda who is a solid horse Up 1kg Has ability to win Mareeza Tow back 0 1L behind Cavalry Rose whose form is over hyped Was still a very game second Last start blocked for run at MV but still not the best run Down 3kg does suit today but needs to produce a career best run today Balaclava Lady Ran bravely for us last start at MV but just didn t produce enough from the back of the field in a race ran to suit front runners Down 3kg and could be running on big time today Ciao Nice run last start behind A Time for Julia but seems slightly outclassed today on form lines Medusa s Miss Blundered at start last start and was ridden wide the whole race due to the track Super fast 1400m race and won very well Down 1kg today and will be very hard to hold out with form lines around Jolie Bay Walk with Atittude Disappointed last start and only 1 5kg better off today Down to 1400m may suit Needs a slowly run race to have a shot Coins Not classy enough on weights today Thunder Rain Not classy enough on last start form May decide to go further forward today which does give her more of a chance Amarachi Outclassed Benenden Super win last start in much easier company in very slowly run time Has a good sprint but 3L behind Angelic Light three back at Kilmore tells us not classy enough today Latino Goss Outclassed Catered Really liked its run last start but needs to find 2L more today Confidence 85 Strategy One of our biggest goes of the day Medusa s Miss form lines are super and Balaclava Lady down in weight will also run a brave race 4 units to win and place on Medusa s Miss 1 5 units to win on Balaclava Lady Flemington Race 7 Dunaden Super win by nearly a length at Caulfield last start with Alcopop franking the form beating the Cox Plate winner on Saturday Up 1kg oh no for that monsterous run Was a race set up for the swoopers it has to be said Undefeated in Australia and could very much continue to be after this race Big chance Americain Ridden wide standard by Mosse Oliver gets the ride which is a positive Interestingly Americain lost two plates last run which makes the 1 5L behind Dunaden absolutely super form Disappointed that we can never find out exactly where the plates were lost in the run though as that would be swaying me a bit more Loves the track and loves the distance Only issue for mine is that hasn t won a race since around this time in 2011 Does look fit enough Jakkalberry Very very average in the Caulfield Cup On previous form needs to find 4 lengths to win today Red Cadeaux Has gone backwards since the second in the Melbourne Cup Won one race last prep in lesser company but over the 2800 Before that 2nd to Colour Vision was solid 1 5L behind over the 3200m Next three starts were all over 2400m which we suspect the horse is more a 3200m type Beaten by Fiorente 4 3L last start Needs to improve today Looks to be a little under the odds from barrier 18 Winchester Keeps on finishing mid to back of fields Looks very harshly weighted today off 55 5kg No chance today Voila Ici Absolutely ignore last start run where too much pace out front The horse has never ran this distance before so massive queries over if can stay the distance Time will tell Looks overs at the price regardless on 0 5L behind Ocean Park form where produced close to careeer best Cavalryman Will be sitting very far back in the pack today which will make it very hard for the horse to swoop with the likes of Dunaden and Americain Goes well on a Good track which is a positive and has won at the distance Last run was in a Listed race over 3200m and finished 2nd which is a big worry Did win very well three back in WFA LR Just don t know if the horse has the class or ability to win today Mount Athos A big chance in the race and weighted very nicely off 54kg Should grab the rails run four back which is a nice place to be Won previous three races by 2 3L 4L and 3 3L all over the 2700 2800 and can run out the longer distances Word is that he is training very well but the last 61 internationals that have ran in the Melbourne Cup with no first up run in Australia have not won Should be contesting but needs to get a split at the right time Sanagas Has quality a year ago in the US but hasn t trained on Never ran over this distance before and never at track On previous runs including Caulfield Cup doesn t have a chance Ethiopia Only his 8th start Harshly weighted against others in the race when you consider he has only ever won the one race Was a nice run in the Cox Plate but still finished 4 3L 4th Not sure what they will do today from barrier 14 but speed maps suggest sitting in the front third of the race Has the ability to stay the 2400m but not sure he has the quality to win this Fiorente Questionable if the horse will stay the 3200m never having ran the distance before Form lines look better at the distance on a wet ground having beaten Joshua Tree and Red Cadeaux over 2400m on Slow Failed to fire against top quality horses in Sea Moon and Orfevre in other starts 53 5kg is a nice weight and positions VERY well in this race expected to take a rails sit close to the front Can run gamely Galileo s Choice You know that he will stay will stay the trip having been a hurdler over the 3200m distance previously Ran two lead up runs off 61kg winning both with ease and looks primed to win here off 53 5kg Speedmaps have him sitting about 10th in running and this should suit Will be launching around the 700m mark and staying to the line Glencadam Gold Jumped a 4 40 favourite in the Caulfield Cup Did too much early where swoopers filled the top 4 places Strangely he is out to 60 to win the Melbourne Cup This is simply overs when he has won 3 from 5 at the class and loves a good track Wouldn t have given him a chance from anything outside barrier 10 and got given 7 with not so much speed inside Will get to the front and be given a nice ride by Berry who knows how to ride the horse Kelinni who he beat home 2 runs back by 3 8L franked the form by winning on the weekend very well Simply overs and deserves your money Green Moon A massive question mark horse in this race Was never going to win last start in the Cox Plate as doesn t handle the weight Has 6 starts for 1 place 0 wins off 59kg now Down to 53 5kg today and looks much better suited Barrier 5 is PERFECT for this horse Will slot right in to sit 2 out 3 back on speedmaps Question is if he will stay out the 3200 Previous runs suggest no issue Maluckyday Hyped up Melbourne Horse Gatewood form proven to not be quality and Tanby not even placing or going close on the weekend also proves it Couldn t get within 6L of Ocean Park or others behind it three back Weighted nicely today no doubt but doesn t have the quality it once had Mourayan Unlucky not to run last year and was expected to go close Comes in this prep with a very game win last start and is expected to stay out the trip with no issues Has a 0 8L 3rd to Americain last prep on his record over the 2400m Will be sitting forward with Glencadam Gold today and not expected to put on much pace On the weights has a chance My Quest for Peace One of the few front runners in the Caulfield Cup who stayed on and produced one of the most underrated runs of the Cup Will be given absolutely the run of the race sitting behind the leader on the rails Has stayed out the 2800m trip before so 3200m shouldn t be an issue Weighted to win this Big hope Niwot Not good enough to win today Hasn t gone within 3 8L the last four starts all this prep Tac De Boistron 11 rides for 0 wins 0 places on a Good track Day should start dead and go to Good by the time of the race If somehow we had a freak storm then he is in with a chance but even then wouldn t be backing it Lights of Heaven Ran in for third in the Caulfield Cup Unlucky barrier draw today means she will have to work extra hard to get a position up forward which is expected to be one our one back Seems to be wanting the distance on previous form and could be running on to the line strongly Suspect there will be a few too good in this race for her off the last few starts Precedence Outclassed in this race Never won or placed at distance from 4 attempts Unusual Suspect How Brigitan or Gatewood didn t get a go before this horse I have no idea Shown 0 form since arriving in Australia and hasn t won a race since 2010 This makes our Cup look like a joke to those who pay to fly their horses over Zabeelionaire Decent run in the Caulfield Cup off the 52k and ran on strongly behind Alcopop 2L on the weekend I can t see it winning but I can certainly see the horse running in for a place if everything goes right The big negative is the speed map for it Kelinni Super progressive horse who won a very solid 2500m race and is given no weight today jumping from 51kg Barrier 10 is a great get for the team also Should sit 2 out 4 5 back which will suit the horse If a solid tempo is on may be one of the best chances in the race on weights Issue is that off 52kg still didn t get close to Glencadam Gold two back Confidence 70 Strategy 5 units My Quest for Peace 1 unit Glencadam Gold 2 units Dunaden Saver bet on Galileo s Choice and Americain Quaddie leg one 1 2 8 12 13 14 17 24 Top 10 My Quest for Peace Glencadam Gold Dunaden Galileo s Choice Americain Kelinni Green Moon Lights of Heaven Mount Athos Red Cadeaux Mourayan Flemington Race 8 Lightinthenite Very brave Group 3 win last start at Caulfield and previous run 2L behind Fat Al also classy 60kg is a very harsh weight penalty today but will certainly be there at the end getting a good run from barrier 5 Stout Hearted Goes back as always 60kg is harsh but when you look to two runs back 1 5L behind Lamasery can swoop with the weight Three back form beating Crafy Irna has held up with Crafty Irna winning in the last two weeks Hard to hold out today 2 wins 2 places from 4 at distance Extra Zero Not the worst run last start 3L off and previous behind Lightinthenite was solid meeting him 3kg better off today Needs to sit closer to the speed to have a chance Grey Assignment Rates to win today Been going very strongly in Queensland winning four of last five races and times are solid Run of race from barrier 2 and loves the distance Only issue will be if measures up to the runners today off the 59 5kg King Diamond Suited to the distance and two of previous three runs been solid Won 3 from 4 at track which is impressive but does need to find a few more lengths today Maules Creek Solid run two back 2 3L behind Mourayan but not good enough last start behind Lightinthenite Better weighted today but still needs to find a few more lengths Eraset Returned poorly this prep First up run was ok second run very average and last start even worse Mr Chard Outclassed Spacecraft Very average last start in much harder race and also bad two back Never won or placed at track from 4 starts Eclair Surprise Nice win last start over 1600m when losing a plate Two back form franked with Texas Warney winning the Horsham Cup Can run a very game race but does need to improve 1 win from 1 at distance and 1 win from 2 starts at track Tribal Rock Form is solid from three runs this prep Weighted nicely and Oliver on board Blocked for run and almost ran down Callanish last start Barrier 4 suits Menados Good run first up but last two runs found issues Goes well at distance but needs to get a clear run Confidence 70 Strategy A tough race Think Stout Hearted is suited today and Grey Assignment has been going super 2 units Stout Hearted 1 5 units Grey Assignment Quaddie leg two 1 2 5 11 12 Flemington Race 9 Green Birdie 3 starts at track for 0 wins 0 places Best is behind him but does keep producing solid runs Needs to find another length and a half today Hot Snitzel Ended last prep poorly and didn t show enough first up this prep to impress 0 wins or places from 4 second up Excellantes Big win last start behind Sea Lord Down 3 5kg today Goes well at the distance and will be producing another solid run Rockpecker Never won from 10 starts firs tup even though went close last start Does nicely at track and distance but needs to produce something special today Danzylum Produced one solid run last start 0 8L behind SOuthern Speed at Caulfield On weights rather be on something else first up after 7 months off Famous Seamus Big run last start in a crazy time over the 1100m 1 01 9 Hardly ever see horses break the 1 02 Has the ability

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  • Horse Racing Form – Caulfield – Sunday 30 September 2012 » The Profits | The Profits
    go forward and set a strong tempo Has the ability to stay on for days and will be hard to run down with such a short straight Pinwheel has been positioning very well and putting in very solid runs Will be hard to beat here We re Gonna Rock was super last start on the straight Has never won at caulfield from three attempts but seems to be in career best form The big question is if he will get the run or not today he wants Second Effort just keeps putting in solid runs If the ground is Slow he is a super chance but we doubt it will be that wet at this time in the day Should still run a solid race Smokin Joey has a 0 win 1 place record on five second up runs A quality horse but can t have him here Solzhenisyn has been beating lesser quality horses up in Queensland This will be a big test but off 53kg could find best here Got a feeling they will push him forward for a sit which is what I would want Ignore last start of Shanghai Warrior and look to previous runs Will go well but can t back Moment of Change will find a few too good here up in class Confidence 80 Quaddie Leg Two 1 2 3 6 Caulfield Race 7 Curtana has always been a solid Caulfield racecourse horse Progressed strongly last prep to win last start in a listed race This does look a very competitive race but could go very close Stratcombe was horrible first up Should run well but happy to be against here Sea Lord was super the first two runs and can t be underestimated once again here Weighted to win Amah Rock is a strong horse but not up to this level from where he will sit Miss Marx ran strongly behind More Joyous last start and could run very well again here The form lines of this horse are very strong Morant ran strongly last start behind Bel Sprinter Up in distance could find a bit more but barrier draw is tough Prince Obama can be forgiven for last run few runs and look to runs three and four back Has been freshed up and is weighted well here I would hope they push him further forward than the last few runs but on a dead track is suited Will go very close Finally If Sir Fernando makes the field will run strongly also but may need to add form in once declared Confidence 85 Quaddie Leg Three 2 8 12 16 18 Caulfield Race 8 Spirit Song went further back last start than the speed map suggested he would and that cost him the race Expected to sit 2nd 3rd again today and hopefully will sit there Extra 100m and a longer straight than MV will certainly suit him here Streaky Fella is a very classy horse and has some nice

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