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  • How we picked a $130 winner and no ‘expert’ gave it a chance. » The Profits | The Profits
    are 5 in blue who we gave chances to didn t include Chasm in the write up and Dance With Her who obviously won It is interesting to see that NO horse coming into this race had won their last race This pretty much never happens in such a race and was a big factor So what did Dance with Her have going for her The number one statistic that drew us into looking at her was the Class EQ STR on the top right She had run 3 placings in 4 starts in this class That is a massive stat for a horse running at 130 The other VERY important stat is that the horse is coming back from a 4 month spell Add to that it prefers a ground that is wet and the ground was on the slowish side of dead the stats on the surface play to the horse The horse is a frontish runner so we knew it would be in the perfect position for this race with swoopers disadvantaged Add to that the light 54kg and you had some good stats 2 wins 4 placings from 11 starts is also another good strike rate Finally you look at the recent form Last 15 starts for the horse had 4 races and only missed a place in 3 of those When you consider the horse was in need of a spell at the end of a VERY long run you excuse those last two runs and say WOW at the stats Noonan was also a very handy booking in my eyes Finally 1 win from 2 starts at the track suggests it goes ok on the track The last thing you need to know is we have been following this horse for a long time

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/2012/03/how-we-picked-a-130-winner-and-no-expert-gave-it-a-chance/ (2013-02-02)
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  • A day of review, punting burnout, work punt balance and just a general rant » The Profits | The Profits
    won Once again it was put into a winnable race on the weekend Down in grade off 59kg the Heavy may not have suited it but it was given another piss poor ride and was visiting friends in the car park on the turn There is absolutely nothing as a punter that you can do about the rides given to horses all you can do is keep backing them If you look back to the 4 th behind Master of Design in a much harder race off the same weight Neeson was ridden with a sit in a small field It was a fast run race and Neeson couldn t produce enough to get there but finished within 0 5L Why the owners don t push for a forward spot take a sit I ll never know Then look to two back the horse was ridden 3 wide the whole race and lost out by 0 5L coming from about 8 th on the turn I have put this horse now into a category called if conditions suit The conditions for this horse being that the trainer announces that the horse will be going for a forward run I urge anyone who is serious about their punting to review their selections and to learn from them I personally find it helpful to listen to I take note but I never copy the tips of professionals the ones you respect think about horses GetOn on TVN is a prime example of a few smart blokes market movers and horses they don t think will win I sit here in Barcelona not out exploring because I have the past two days Frankly I would rather sit by the pool and relax settle down and just let my brain stop for the day I follow a large number of punters on twitter and a large majority of them have a bet every day on baseball basketball AFL the voice the toss of a coin and never to be missed multibets There have been a few periods where I have done the same with NBA and Baseball and for me it has always resulted in a term I call punting burnout There comes a point where you just need to stop for a day or two and give yourself a day away from the punt and to stop worrying whether the Le Bron will sink that winning shot for the Heat to land your only bet of the day From experience you don t just get burnt out betting this way it also affects your job How often do you check your smartphone for the latest score during your day of work when you have a punt What is this distraction doing to your work How many minutes hours are you really losing of productive work time Even if you have a working strategy I think it s healthy to punt a maximum of six days a week You need that one day to

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/2012/06/a-day-of-review-punting-burnout-work-punt-balance-and-just-a-general-rant/ (2013-02-02)
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  • 6 Nations 2013 PREVIEW » The Profits | The Profits
    France there is youth and there is experience Other than a woeful display against England in the last round of last year s championship and a narrow loss to South Africa in November the green machine seems to be gathering some momentum Ireland is certainly the roughie in this year s competition If they can sneak past Wales in round one they have home fixtures against England and France Could this be Ireland s year I don t think so They will fall short but then again Ronan O Gara is the master of the drop goal Coach Declan Kidney Captain Jamie Heaslip No 8 Superstars Brian O Driscoll Outside Centre Bolter Craig Gilroy Wing Fullback Prediction If you are game Champions 4 50 Sportsbet but I would sit it out Wales The reigning 6 Nations champions had an extremely poor autumn series having lost to Argentina Samoa New Zealand and Australia Seven consecutive losses after a great Rugby World Cup campaign that could ve finished very differently if Sam Warburton wasn t red carded in the first few minutes A convincing 6 Nations last year left Welsh rugby on a serious high However some mediocre rugby that can t be blamed on weather a host of injuries and some underperforming provincial unions really leave the Welsh with their backs against the walls Now is there time to stand up They have some experienced campaigners and a monstrous backline that is blessed with pace so if the forward lay the platform and Leigh Halfpenny kicks his goals they shouldn t be too far off the pace but you would expect that they should fall short to the in form teams England and France Coach Rob Howley Warren Gatland is on Lions duty Captain Sam Warburton Flanker Superstar Toby Faletau Number 8 Rising Star Justin Tipuric Flanker Prediction Wales have the team to spring a few upsets but 2013 won t be their year Scotland 2012 was a year of one up and many downs for Scotland rugby given they lost all 6 Nations fixtures and experienced disappointing losses to South Africa New Zealand and Tonga The upside was that they managed to upset an understrength Australia in Newcastle during a midweek game in conditions that resembled something very similar to the dreary and wet Murrayfield Scott Johnson the interim head coach has added ten uncapped players to help reinvigorate Scottish rugby and picked 19 Glasgow warriors players to ensure that as many combinations that play week in and week out provincially can tackle some of the world s best on the international stage The best partnerships are usually developed at provincial level The likes of Ma a Nonu and Conrad Smith Hurricanes Justin Marshall and Andrew Mehrtens Crusaders Jean de Villiers and Jacque Fourie Stormers The transition to the international stage is made that much easier for players given there are already established foundations based on trust and effective communication and senior players that can show the way Scotland has

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/2013/01/6-nations-2013-preview/ (2013-02-02)
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  • The Profits - Turning Gamblers into Traders
    bets look to be very solid this week but it could all change if the rain comes The New Boy has been within 0 2L of winning the last three starts and in Continue reading 3 comments Permanent link to this article http www theprofits com au 2013 02 horse racing form caulfield and rosehill saturday 2 february 2013 Jan 31 Horse Racing Form Moonee Valley Friday 1 February 2013 Categories Racing by TheProfits January 31 2013 Another Friday night race meeting and we are at Moonee Valley again We aren t blessed with quality fields like last week but that doesn t matter as there is always value to be had from at least one race in any card We recorded one of our best weekends ever last week and hope to be Continue reading 1 comment Permanent link to this article http www theprofits com au 2013 01 horse racing form moonee valley friday 1 february 2013 Jan 29 English Premier League Week 24 Game Predictions Tips and Bets Categories English Premier League by TheProfits January 29 2013 Well it was certainly a bumpy weekend with plenty of ups and downs in the FA cup fixtures Liverpool will be fuming about their poor showing against Oldham where they were stunned 3 2 and will need a big turnaround in form when they face Arsenal away this week Likewise Tottenham will be searching for answers Continue reading Leave comment Permanent link to this article http www theprofits com au 2013 01 english premier league week 24 game predictions tips and bets Jan 29 Mundine vs Geale 2 Preview Categories Boxing by TheProfits January 29 2013 It s never a slow news week when The Man Anthony Mundine is scheduled to fight Some have suggested that he should be renamed

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/?cat= (2013-02-02)
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  • About » The Profits | The Profits
    compare it to the USA 325 per capita The goal and vision of The Profits is to help turn gamblers into traders Permanent link to this article http www theprofits com au about 3 comments Jason October 27 2012 at 10 14 AM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Hi Gent s A good friend who is a keen regular punter pointed me in your direction I am so glad he did I am new to this caper I now rely on your tips info to help me learn and make more informed decisions I really appreciate the time effort you put in So a big thanks to you my good friend Cheers keep up the brilliant work Jason Tom October 23 2012 at 6 32 PM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Love the work you guys do on the Australian racing Thanks for taking the time and effort It s much appreciated Cheers Reece October 8 2012 at 7 41 AM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Hey guys a friend put me on to you lot last month keep up the great work and lets win some more of Regards Reece Leave a Reply to Jason Cancel reply Your email address will not be published Required fields are marked Name Email Website Message You may use these HTML tags and attributes a href title abbr title acronym title b blockquote cite cite code del datetime em i q cite strike strong Categories Select Category 6 Nations 2 AFL 77 Articles 14 Basketball 61 Boxing 1 English Premier League 20 Racing 244 Rugby Union 1 T20 Big Bash 13 Tennis 24 Get the Best Odds with Betfair and a 200 Risk Free Bet Articles The basics of Betfair The early bird DOES get the worm

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/about/?replytocom=1801 (2013-02-02)
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  • About » The Profits | The Profits
    compare it to the USA 325 per capita The goal and vision of The Profits is to help turn gamblers into traders Permanent link to this article http www theprofits com au about 3 comments Jason October 27 2012 at 10 14 AM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Hi Gent s A good friend who is a keen regular punter pointed me in your direction I am so glad he did I am new to this caper I now rely on your tips info to help me learn and make more informed decisions I really appreciate the time effort you put in So a big thanks to you my good friend Cheers keep up the brilliant work Jason Tom October 23 2012 at 6 32 PM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Love the work you guys do on the Australian racing Thanks for taking the time and effort It s much appreciated Cheers Reece October 8 2012 at 7 41 AM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Hey guys a friend put me on to you lot last month keep up the great work and lets win some more of Regards Reece Leave a Reply to Tom Cancel reply Your email address will not be published Required fields are marked Name Email Website Message You may use these HTML tags and attributes a href title abbr title acronym title b blockquote cite cite code del datetime em i q cite strike strong Categories Select Category 6 Nations 2 AFL 77 Articles 14 Basketball 61 Boxing 1 English Premier League 20 Racing 244 Rugby Union 1 T20 Big Bash 13 Tennis 24 Get the Best Odds with Betfair and a 200 Risk Free Bet Articles The basics of Betfair The early bird DOES get the worm

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/about/?replytocom=1676 (2013-02-02)
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  • About » The Profits | The Profits
    compare it to the USA 325 per capita The goal and vision of The Profits is to help turn gamblers into traders Permanent link to this article http www theprofits com au about 3 comments Jason October 27 2012 at 10 14 AM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Hi Gent s A good friend who is a keen regular punter pointed me in your direction I am so glad he did I am new to this caper I now rely on your tips info to help me learn and make more informed decisions I really appreciate the time effort you put in So a big thanks to you my good friend Cheers keep up the brilliant work Jason Tom October 23 2012 at 6 32 PM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Love the work you guys do on the Australian racing Thanks for taking the time and effort It s much appreciated Cheers Reece October 8 2012 at 7 41 AM UTC 10 Link to this comment Reply Hey guys a friend put me on to you lot last month keep up the great work and lets win some more of Regards Reece Leave a Reply to Reece Cancel reply Your email address will not be published Required fields are marked Name Email Website Message You may use these HTML tags and attributes a href title abbr title acronym title b blockquote cite cite code del datetime em i q cite strike strong Categories Select Category 6 Nations 2 AFL 77 Articles 14 Basketball 61 Boxing 1 English Premier League 20 Racing 244 Rugby Union 1 T20 Big Bash 13 Tennis 24 Get the Best Odds with Betfair and a 200 Risk Free Bet Articles The basics of Betfair The early bird DOES get the worm

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/about/?replytocom=1335 (2013-02-02)
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  • English Premier League Week 23 Game Predictions, Tips and Bets » The Profits | The Profits
    continue to show that fighting spirit for the rest of the season they might just get themselves out of the bottom three Magpies should just be too strong for Reading as they haven t won away from home all season Predicted result Newcastle win 2 1 Confidence 70 Betting Option None Liverpool 1 32 Versus Norwich 12 Draw 5 8 Liverpool Last 5 WLWWL Excellent home record over their last 5 games 4 wins and 1 loss conceding only 3 goals Norwich Last 5 LLLLD 1 win away in their last 5 away The Reds suffered defeat to the hands of their arch rivals last weekend and will look to rectify their slow start in the first half that saw them concede cheaply Sturridge has been a breath of fresh air scoring twice in two matches and along with Borini returning back from injury Rodger s has plenty of options up forward now Look for the three forwards to start in the coming matches Norwich has not won in 5 games and this looks like mission impossible if Suarez continues his tradition of scoring hatrick s against them Reds domination of possession will be expected and an easy win should be on the cards for the Liverpool faithful Predicted result Liverpool win 3 1 Confidence 80 Betting Option Liverpool win 1 32 Manchester City 1 27 Versus Fulham 14 Draw 6 6 Manchester City Last 5 WLWWW Scored 12 goals in their last 5 at home and only conceded 4 Fulham Last 5 LDLWD Good record at the Etihad with 2 wins 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 visits The last time these two played at the Etihad it ended in a 3 0 win to City to give them their first win over Fulham in their last 5 meetings there It s no secret that City has not been performing to the levels they were at last season but in recent weeks there are signs of improvement in relation to their goal scoring efforts Their last 3 games they ve averaged 3 goals whereas their prior 3 games only averaged 1 33 goals and key to this is their recent opposition included the likes of Stoke and Arsenal Fulham had a lucky escape in their FA cup tie with Blackpool after leaving Berbatov and Ruiz out so expect these two critical players to return Even with the likes of Yaya Toure out on International duty City look strong and have enough depth to get the points here against Fulham Watch for Berbatov to cause plenty of trouble he s been fantastic this season and a joy to watch Predicted result Manchester City 2 1 Confidence 80 Betting Option Over 2 5 goals at 1 52 West Brom 1 73 Versus Aston Villa 5 6 Draw 4 WBA Last 5 WWLLL Still on a downward trend with only 7 goals in their last 8 games positive is that Lukaku is starting to terrorise defences with 4 of

    Original URL path: http://www.theprofits.com.au/2013/01/english-premier-league-week-23-game-predictions-tips-and-bets/ (2013-02-02)
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