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  • Reserve Bank of Australia | Business Spectator
    Digital Resources and Energy Professional Services Property Retail Small Business SME Telecommunications The Ashes Tourism Transport and Logistics Video KGB TV China Spectator CEO Hub Leadership Lab Management Insights Young Leaders Knowledge Centre Adapt or Die Knowledge Hub Business Accelerators Webinars eBooks Menu Reserve Bank of Australia Private sector credit rises in November Reserve Bank of Australia data shows housing and business credit lifted during the month of November 11 42am December 31 3 comments The RBA s steely infrastructure warning Beyond deflecting some uninformed questions about the Reserve Bank s 9 billion top up Glenn Stevens and Philip Lowe delivered some pertinent warnings about Australia s long term prosperity by Callam Pickering 2 43pm December 18 5 comments RBA still open to dollar intervention Stevens won t rule out selling local currency but refuses to set out triggers 10 52am December 18 2 comments RBA repeats warning on high dollar Reserve Bank of Australia notes recent fall in exchange rate but says further depreciation likely needed for balanced growth 11 33am December 17 8 comments Liquidity rules to hit bank customers RBA s Debelle warns Basel III regulation will likely increase costs next year 11 26am December 17 Abbott s talking dollars and nonsense The prime minister drew a bow this week between the central bank s 9 billion government top up and a lower Australian dollar revealing an alarming lack of understanding about monetary policy by Bernard Keane Glenn Dyer 2 18pm December 16 33 comments Stevens warns against hubris RBA governor says it would be foolish to think cycles of boom and bust are over 7 43am December 09 9 comments RBA caution to cushion a Fed fallout Forecasting is patchy at the best of times but with the massive ramifications of an impending taper the Reserve Bank has little choice but to wait for the Fed to make up its mind by Callam Pickering 2 02pm December 05 5 comments RBA holds cash rate at record low 2 5 per cent Reserve Bank of Australia keeps official cash rate on hold repeats concerns about uncomfortably high Australian dollar 2 31pm December 03 2 comments Rate cut cycle nearing end economists Today s RBA board meeting expected to see rates held at record low 5 35am December 03 1 comment RBA expected to hold rates steady Last 2013 Reserve Bank board meeting likely to see record low rates maintained 12 02am December 03 RBA still waiting for injection Central Bank yet to receive 8 8bn from govt doesn t expect it until after budget 7 33am December 02 1 comment Private sector credit lifts in Oct Reserve Bank data shows housing business credit increases in October 11 36am November 29 Goldman s Aussie short game Goldman Sachs recommends cashing in on the weakening Aussie dollar which could be as low as 85 cents by late 2014 as a number one trade for the coming year by Daniel Palmer 7 23am November 27 25 comments RBA s Lowe

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/economy/reserve-bank-australia?destination=taxonomy/term/3271 (2014-01-12)
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  • Economics and Investment Strategy | Business Spectator
    and Racing Health and Pharmaceuticals HR Industrial relations Information Technology Infrastructure Insurance Manufacturing Media and Digital Resources and Energy Professional Services Property Retail Small Business SME Telecommunications The Ashes Tourism Transport and Logistics Video KGB TV China Spectator CEO Hub Leadership Lab Management Insights Young Leaders Knowledge Centre Adapt or Die Knowledge Hub Business Accelerators Webinars eBooks Menu Economics and Investment Strategy Dwelling on housing growth is misguided Dwelling investment will rise during 2014 but the shift towards cheaper less labour intensive high density housing means it will not be enough to offset the mining investment cliff by Callam Pickering 10 46am January 10 62 comments The ECB is failing to do whatever it takes The European Central Bank is too focussed on the long term outlook when eurozone countries need desperate and immediate relief Failing to cut rates last night will lead to further disinflation and slower growth by Callam Pickering 8 34am January 10 16 comments Unemployment coming to a suburb near you With unemployment tipped to rise this year some Australian communities will be hit particularly hard including areas not usually associated with social disadvantage by Bill Mitchell by Scott Baum 8 03am January 10 96 comments A fast to follow the spending binge The recent surge in retail sales makes the outlook brighter for employment but don t be surprised if it s just a temporary spike Spending growth could slow to 2 per cent in 2014 as households become more not less cautious by Callam Pickering 2 56pm January 09 13 comments Complacency is no super strategy Choosing which asset is best for your portfolio is more crucial than ever as quantitative easing has made bubbles out of all markets Grab the chance to change your strategy now while real interest rates relative to inflation remain high by Dr Stephen J Nash 2 30pm January 09 19 comments Athens 2014 is not Sarajevo 1914 The centenary of World War I will see many commentators looking to draw parallels between the political ructions of today s Europe and the calamity that led to the Great War It should not be used as justification for failing European integration by Oliver Marc Hartwich 7 03am January 09 9 comments Blowing bubbles and the stagnation puzzle Finally mainstream economists are beginning to accept the reality of secular stagnation But are permanent government deficits and asset bubbles the only solution by Steve Keen 6 39am January 09 32 comments The international economy in 2014 2014 will present brighter prospects for the US and UK although some fiscal adjustment is needed Volatile capital flows will trouble emerging economies and debt forgiveness will be needed for a European recovery by Stephen Grenville 7 42am January 07 20 comments Bracing for Australia s structural shift An investment drought and the high dollar have constrained non mining capital expenditure The desire for a weaker dollar and better global competitiveness will ensure low rates will continue in 2014 by Adam Bowe Robert Mead PIMCO 9

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/investment-topics/economics-and-investment-strategy (2014-01-12)
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  • Economy | Business Spectator
    declining power consumption Power consumption fell again in 2013 dipping 2 8 per cent across the National Electricity Market as scheduled renewables rose to 12 per cent of the market Industries Advertising and Marketing Agribusiness Automotive Aviation Construction and Engineering Education Family Business Financial Services Food and Beverages Gaming and Racing Health and Pharmaceuticals HR Industrial relations Information Technology Infrastructure Insurance Manufacturing Media and Digital Resources and Energy Professional Services Property Retail Small Business SME Telecommunications The Ashes Tourism Transport and Logistics Video KGB TV China Spectator CEO Hub Leadership Lab Management Insights Young Leaders Knowledge Centre Adapt or Die Knowledge Hub Business Accelerators Webinars eBooks Menu Economy Dwelling on housing growth is misguided Dwelling investment will rise during 2014 but the shift towards cheaper less labour intensive high density housing means it will not be enough to offset the mining investment cliff by Callam Pickering 10 46am January 10 62 comments The ECB is failing to do whatever it takes The European Central Bank is too focussed on the long term outlook when eurozone countries need desperate and immediate relief Failing to cut rates last night will lead to further disinflation and slower growth by Callam Pickering 8 34am January 10 16 comments Unemployment coming to a suburb near you With unemployment tipped to rise this year some Australian communities will be hit particularly hard including areas not usually associated with social disadvantage by Bill Mitchell by Scott Baum 8 03am January 10 96 comments A fast to follow the spending binge The recent surge in retail sales makes the outlook brighter for employment but don t be surprised if it s just a temporary spike Spending growth could slow to 2 per cent in 2014 as households become more not less cautious by Callam Pickering 2 56pm January 09 13 comments Aust dollar weaker at noon Local currency remains lower despite small rise on retail data 12 36pm January 09 1 comment Building approvals fall in November ABS data shows total number dwellings approved fell more than expected 11 33am January 09 Athens 2014 is not Sarajevo 1914 The centenary of World War I will see many commentators looking to draw parallels between the political ructions of today s Europe and the calamity that led to the Great War It should not be used as justification for failing European integration by Oliver Marc Hartwich 7 03am January 09 9 comments Blowing bubbles and the stagnation puzzle Finally mainstream economists are beginning to accept the reality of secular stagnation But are permanent government deficits and asset bubbles the only solution by Steve Keen 6 39am January 09 32 comments Job vacancies fall in Nov quarter ABS data shows vacancies in both private and public sector decline in three month period 11 41am January 08 2 comments Trade deficit narrows in November Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows trade balance remains in the red exports flat imports decline slightly 11 38am January 07 1 comment The international economy in 2014

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/investment-topics/economy (2014-01-12)
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  • Dwelling on housing growth is misguided
    limited supply of land in ideal locations and public transport systems that are failing to connect outer suburbs to key businesses districts High density approvals fell by 8 8 per cent in November but are still almost 30 per cent higher over the year As the graph above shows it is clearly the driver of the recent pick up in approvals and is easily at its highest level in history Approvals for detached housing actually rose by 5 7 per cent in November a surprisingly strong result to be 17 4 per cent higher over the year I would caution readers not to place too much weight on that outcome given the monthly volatility I expect this category to decline in December following this unusually large rise At the state level there has been increased activity across all states Approvals in most states are at fairly high levels based on activity over the past decade But as I mentioned earlier after adjusting for population growth building approvals in all states remain well below their historical highs The improvement in building approvals will eventually feed into residential investment but to date that hasn t occurred yet Private new residential investment remains at a fairly subdued level Dwelling investment is one of the big hopes for the Australian economy in 2014 but as the graph below shows there isn t a huge amount of upside for dwelling investment Since 1990 it peaked at 3 8 per cent in the run up to the implementation of the GST As I mentioned yesterday A fast to follow the spending binge 1 January 9 I am fairly pessimistic about the ability of consumption and dwelling investment to offset the inevitable and sharp decline in mining investment Conservative estimates suggest that there will be a 3

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/print/765691 (2014-01-12)
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  • User generated content policy | Business Spectator
    reached a danger zone adding to a generally weak day for European markets Politics Australian Election Federal Budget International News Asia Europe USA National Affairs Latest stories Gagging visas are an attack on democracy The skyrocketing price of a journalist visa for Nauru will limit coverage of Australian prisoners on a vassal state It is an insult to the democratic principles this country stands for Britain will be poorer for Scotland the brave The economic case for Scottish independence is far from settled with doubts hanging over volatile oil prices and uncertainty over future revenues One thing is certain it would be a disaster for Britain Technology NBN Buzz Mobility BYOD Smart Devices Emerging Tech Applications Big Data Cloud Computing Data Management Reviews Social Media Start ups Security Data Security Identity Management Wireless Security Telecommunication Latest stories Google v Facebook Who knows wins The unparalleled Google Analytics service means Google knows more about internet users than anyone else And runner up Facebook must go further to mine precious user insights if it wants to compete Will Twitter s founder strike social gold twice Biz Stone is looking to tap into the selflessness of others with his latest venture Jelly Enterprises But the just launched app will have to quickly shift into something of real value if it s to become a mainstream success Climate Carbon markets Energy markets Renewable energy Resources Solar energy Wind power CleanTech Science Environment Green Deals Policy Politics Smart Energy Latest stories Marking the milestones of 2013 Australia s transition to a clean energy economy took some political blows in 2013 but progress on the ground was heartening with energy efficiency solar and wind all providing tangible proof of their future potential A fifth year of declining power consumption Power consumption fell again in 2013 dipping 2 8 per cent across the National Electricity Market as scheduled renewables rose to 12 per cent of the market Industries Advertising and Marketing Agribusiness Automotive Aviation Construction and Engineering Education Family Business Financial Services Food and Beverages Gaming and Racing Health and Pharmaceuticals HR Industrial relations Information Technology Infrastructure Insurance Manufacturing Media and Digital Resources and Energy Professional Services Property Retail Small Business SME Telecommunications The Ashes Tourism Transport and Logistics Video KGB TV China Spectator CEO Hub Leadership Lab Management Insights Young Leaders Knowledge Centre Adapt or Die Knowledge Hub Business Accelerators Webinars eBooks Menu User generated content policy Business Spectator believes in reasoned civil debate The tone we seek in our online discussions reflects our desire to add illumination and clarity to an issue Commentators and commenters may have differing political views but we subscribe to Voltaire s philosophy I disapprove of what you say but I will defend to the death your right to say it That means focusing on the substance of arguments as opposed to their presenters It also means avoiding insults and other forms of ad hominem comments We encourage you to make your case as vigorously as possible without being rude We

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/bs/comments-policy (2014-01-12)
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  • The ECB is failing to do whatever it takes
    decade of economic growth For many countries in the region it will be longer than a lost decade The time for action isn t next month but right now The focus on deflation is also misleading and unnecessary Low inflation can be damaging in its own right and continues to be within the eurozone Disinflation effectively acts as a form of monetary tightening by increasing the real interest rate that firms households and governments borrow at The real interest rate in the eurozone has increased by over 50 basis points since July 2013 The eurozone would benefit a great deal from higher inflation particularly in Germany and the ECB target for inflation should actually be higher than 2 per cent to provide further relief This is the problem with having a low inflation target it actually limits how low real interest rates can go Perhaps I am being a bit unfair on the ECB but in an environment where most eurozone governments cannot do more to support their economies such as Spain and Greece or are simply unwilling to help Germany it falls to the ECB to do whatever it takes Generating more inflation is an important part of doing whatever it takes With few policy options countries in the eurozone are relying on internal devaluations changing relative wages via differences in inflation rates between eurozone countries to increase competitiveness within the eurozone and against non eurozone countries For a country such as Australia a freely floating currency does that job for us but that is not an option within the eurozone The euro is too low for the likes of Germany and much too high for the likes of Spain Disinflation slows the internal devaluation and prolongs the economic damage and human misery resulting from this crisis Not to

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/print/765636 (2014-01-12)
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  • Wall Street mixed after jobs data | Business Spectator
    knows more about internet users than anyone else And runner up Facebook must go further to mine precious user insights if it wants to compete Will Twitter s founder strike social gold twice Biz Stone is looking to tap into the selflessness of others with his latest venture Jelly Enterprises But the just launched app will have to quickly shift into something of real value if it s to become a mainstream success Climate Carbon markets Energy markets Renewable energy Resources Solar energy Wind power CleanTech Science Environment Green Deals Policy Politics Smart Energy Latest stories Marking the milestones of 2013 Australia s transition to a clean energy economy took some political blows in 2013 but progress on the ground was heartening with energy efficiency solar and wind all providing tangible proof of their future potential A fifth year of declining power consumption Power consumption fell again in 2013 dipping 2 8 per cent across the National Electricity Market as scheduled renewables rose to 12 per cent of the market Industries Advertising and Marketing Agribusiness Automotive Aviation Construction and Engineering Education Family Business Financial Services Food and Beverages Gaming and Racing Health and Pharmaceuticals HR Industrial relations Information Technology Infrastructure Insurance Manufacturing Media and Digital Resources and Energy Professional Services Property Retail Small Business SME Telecommunications The Ashes Tourism Transport and Logistics Video KGB TV China Spectator CEO Hub Leadership Lab Management Insights Young Leaders Knowledge Centre Adapt or Die Knowledge Hub Business Accelerators Webinars eBooks Menu Wall Street mixed after jobs data 11 Jan 5 10 AM Updated 11 Jan 6 18 AM 2 Markets Financial Markets Stocks recover after US jobs increase misses expectations You must be logged in to read this article Not a member yet Register today Business Spectator is available on all of your devices so you can access the latest news and commentary where and how you like Register now Already a member Sign in here Email Address Enter your Email Address Password Enter the password that accompanies your Email Address Remember me Log in Request new password AFP United States stocks have recovered from losses to end mostly higher after a surprisingly weak US jobs report At the closing bell on Friday the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 7 90 points 0 05 per cent to 16 436 86 The broad based S P 500 rose 4 29 or 0 23 per cent to 1 842 42 while the tech rich Nasdaq Composite Index gained 18 47 or 0 44 per cent at 4 174 66 The monthly Labor Department report said the US economy added just 74 000 jobs in December well below the 197 000 expected by analysts Equity markets spent much of the day in the red before recovering in afternoon trade The drop in US Treasury yields suggested the market thought the jobs report meant the US Federal Reserve will avoid aggressively scaling back its stimulus People are thinking the Fed is going to stick around longer said Brent

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2014/1/11/financial-markets/wall-street-mixed-after-jobs-data (2014-01-12)
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  • Asian stocks end mixed | Business Spectator
    Aviation Construction and Engineering Education Family Business Financial Services Food and Beverages Gaming and Racing Health and Pharmaceuticals HR Industrial relations Information Technology Infrastructure Insurance Manufacturing Media and Digital Resources and Energy Professional Services Property Retail Small Business SME Telecommunications The Ashes Tourism Transport and Logistics Video KGB TV China Spectator CEO Hub Leadership Lab Management Insights Young Leaders Knowledge Centre Adapt or Die Knowledge Hub Business Accelerators Webinars eBooks Menu Asian stocks end mixed 10 Jan 10 58 PM 1 Markets Financial Markets Bourses lack direction after weak Wall Street lead You must be logged in to read this article Not a member yet Register today Business Spectator is available on all of your devices so you can access the latest news and commentary where and how you like Register now Already a member Sign in here Email Address Enter your Email Address Password Enter the password that accompanies your Email Address Remember me Log in Request new password AAP Asian markets are mixed following another weak lead from Wall Street as investors await the release of key US jobs data while Shanghai eased after China said its trade surplus shrank in December The euro edged back up against the dollar and yen after a brief fall on Thursday fuelled by a warning from the head of the European Central Bank ECB that the eurozone economy remained fragile Tokyo rebounded from earlier losses thanks to a pick up in the dollar against the yen The Nikkei ended 0 20 per cent or 31 73 points higher at 15 912 06 and Hong Kong closed up 0 26 per cent or 58 92 points to 22 846 25 However Seoul finished down 0 39 per cent shedding 7 57 points to 1 938 54 and Sydney eased 0 23 per cent or 12 0 points to 5 312 4 Shanghai fell 0 71 per cent or 14 32 points to 2 013 30 With the US Federal Reserve holding its next policy meeting at the end of the month investors are closely monitoring Friday s jobs data to see if it will give the central bank more ammunition to further cut its stimulus The Fed s most recent meeting saw it reduce its bond buying scheme by 10 billion a month to 75 billion from January citing a pick up in the world s number one economy On Wall Street the three main indexes ended mostly lower with disappointing earnings from retailers adding some downward pressure The Dow fell 0 11 per cent the S P 500 edged up 0 03 per cent and the Nasdaq eased 0 23 per cent On forex markets the euro held its own after suffering a sell off on Thursday in response to ECB head Mario Draghi s warning over the eurozone economy as recent data spurred fears of deflation similar to that suffered by Japan in the past decade After announcing the bank would keep interest rates on hold despite the low inflation

    Original URL path: http://www.businessspectator.com.au/news/2014/1/10/financial-markets/asian-stocks-end-mixed (2014-01-12)
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